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Dumping Electoral College Will Hurt Blacks And Latinos Most
By Earl Ofari Hutchinson
Date: 11-29-00
One of the many ideas for reform shaken loose by the
confusion over just who is president is a call to abolish the electoral
college. A realistic look at the situation suggests such a move could
actually harm many of those rallying in support of this reform. Earl
Ofari Hutchinson is the President of the National Alliance for Positive
Action. His e-mail address is ehutchi344@aol.com.
The call to dump the Electoral College, coming from Hillary Rodham
Clinton, Jesse Jackson and others, mostly Democrats, is disingenuous at
best and dangerous at worst.
Eight years ago, in 1992 neither Rodham Clinton nor Jackson shouted
that
the Electoral College is unfair and thwarted the popular will when it
allowed a president with only a plurarity, not the majority, of the
popular vote to occupy the White House.
That year, Bill Clinton won the presidency without an absolute majority
of the votes cast. In that election, one of five voters backed Reform
Party candidate Ross Perot. Yet he did not get a single electoral vote.
Rodham, Clinton and Jackson did not call that unfair. They try to rouse
black and Latino voters by pounding on the point that the Electoral
College gives too much power to mostly white, conservative farmers,
ranchers, and livestock herders in sparsely populated states and too
little power to those in racially diverse, densely populated states.
But scrapping the Electoral College would badly hurt blacks and
Latinos.
Gore's edge over Bush in the popular vote was only marginally greater
than Kennedy's over Nixon in the still disputed 1960 election. And Bush
racked up a 30 to 19 margin over him in a number of states won.
Still, the massive support Gore got from blacks and Latinos in
California, New York, New Jersey, Illinois, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and
the District of Columbia enabled him, without -- at least for the
moment
-- Florida, to top Bush in total number of votes cast.
Since electoral votes are ladled out to the states according to Census
numbers, in theory a candidate need win only the eleven most populous
states to bag the presidency. This guarantees black and Latino voters a
major role.
Clinton provides good example. In 1992 he relentlessly wooed black and
Latino voters in California and it paid off. He won the state's 54
electoral votes -- a fifth of the total needed to win the White House.
Again, during his 1996 re-election campaign, he visited California 30
times, meeting frequently with black and Latino political leaders and
groups. They again played the crucial role in delivering California to
Clinton.
Gore and Bush, like Clinton, understand it's political suicide not to
actively court black and Latino voters in the major electoral states.
This election Republicans and Democrats pumped millions of dollars into
ads in black and Latino newspapers and radio stations. The Republican
National Convention presented their version of a diversity showcase in
Pennsylvania in a naked attempt to convince blacks and Latinos that the
Republicans champion inclusion.
During the campaign Bush spent much of his time in California and
Michigan visiting black schools and churches and mugging for photo-ops
with Latino and black community leaders. In the Deep South states, long
thought safe for the Republicans, Bush had to wage a furious campaign
to
beat back the effort posed by the legions of black Democratic voters
and
officeholders to pry loose one or two of these states from him for the
Democrats.
For his part, Gore exhorted Latino and black ministers, athletes,
entertainers, and politicians to prime his campaign in the key
electoral
states. He prevented a total Bush western blitz with his apparent
razor-thin win in New Mexico by courting the state's growing numbers of
Latino voters.
The importance of black and Latino votes in the must-win electoral
states
even blurred the lines between the parties on some social issues.
Gore pledged to end racial profiling, preserve affirmative action,
boost
health care for the uninsured, increase HIV/AIDS funding, back massive
aid to failing inner-city public schools, and make racially-diverse
appointments.
Bush soft-pedaled his opposition to affirmative action, and support of
school vouchers, talked about boosting education and health care
spending, promoting immigration reform, and making racially-diverse
appointments.
On the campaign trail he kept black Republicans Colin Powell, J.C.
Watts
and Condoleeza Rice virtually welded to his hip.
In 2004 the states will be reapportioned on the basis of 2000 Census
population estimates.
California, New York, and Florida, with large and growing black and
Latino populations, and the handful of other states that the Democrats
bank on, will figure even bigger in their campaign plans. In the Deep
South states that Bush won the number of black and Latino voters will
also continue to rise.
And those votes will translate into more electoral votes. Democrats and
Republicans will be forced to aggressively court, woo, and stroke black
and Latino voters, and publicly support policy initiatives that benefit
their communities. Thank the electoral college for that.

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